THE UKRAINE CONFLICT: A SYSTEMIC AND ESCALATION MODEL APPROACH TO CONFLICT RESOLUTION

Abstract

This study analyzes the Ukraine conflict through the lenses of the system theory and conflict escalation models to understand its underlying dynamics and explore potential pathways to resolution. The systemic model helps identify the complex interplay of political, economic, and security structures among global and regional actors, while conflict escalation theory traces the intensification of hostilities over time. By mapping key escalation triggers—such as NATO expansion, territorial disputes, and information warfare—the research highlights how the conflict evolved from political tension to full-scale war. The study proposes de-escalation strategies rooted in multilateral diplomacy, trust-building mechanisms, and conflict transformation frameworks. Ultimately, the paper offers a holistic view of the Ukraine conflict, emphasizing the importance of early intervention, balanced power negotiations, and sustainable peacebuilding efforts.